L’École des cotes

Le Mans FC v Clermont

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:04 UTC

Score final : Le Mans FC 1–0 Clermont

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Le Mans FC (Local)

Prévision 58.35%1.71cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%58.28%58.57%60.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.33%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clermont (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.87%5.60cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.338%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%17.96%17.76%19.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.065.105.5122.22%19.76%19.61%18.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.77%4.21cote équitable
EV +0.565%
Avantage +0.133%
Kelly +0.175%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%23.76%23.67%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.804.2330.30%26.36%26.32%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.51%EV -2.24%E -0.409%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV +0.565%E +0.133%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-17 17:59
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 17:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:57
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.47%E -8.31%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:00
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Suprabets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.23%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:59
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:58
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 18:00
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.17%EV -4.38%E -0.819%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -13.32%E -2.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:58
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:58
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:59
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:00
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.60%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.25%EV -1.52%E -0.276%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -10.13%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 17:59
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:59
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:59
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:00
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 57.65%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.55%E -6.53%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.59%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.59%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-17 18:00