A Escola das Odds

Guingamp v SC Bastia

Início: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Guingamp 0–1 SC Bastia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Previsão 41.48%2.41odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.50%41.32%41.63%42.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.45%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Bastia (Visitante)

Previsão 30.07%3.33odd justa
EV -0.764%
Vantagem -0.232%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.84%30.24%29.89%31.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.002.983.3036.36%33.32%33.56%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.45%3.52odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -0.966%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.52%28.44%28.47%30.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.30%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.28%E -0.966%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:40
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -0.764%E -0.232%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.50%EV -3.35%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:00
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:45
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.28%E -0.966%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:00
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.37%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Suprabets2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.59%EV -7.68%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.68%EV -12.96%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:42
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -7.91%E -3.56%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -7.91%E -3.56%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.91%E -3.56%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -11.25%E -3.61%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:55
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.65%EV -10.39%E -3.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.84%EV -6.70%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -9.57%E -4.39%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:45
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 17:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -17.30%E -6.29%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.08%E -6.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%2.1%2026-05-02 17:55