Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp v Grenoble

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp (Local)

Prediction 54.58%1.83fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.78%54.57%54.45%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.11%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 20.39%4.90fair odd
EV +0.922%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.234%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.37%20.43%22.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.484.504.9525.00%22.30%22.22%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.03%3.99fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.05%25.11%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.61%27.78%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guingamp (Local): 54.58%; Grenoble (Visit): 20.39%; Draw: 25.03%. For Grenoble (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.922%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.02%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.35%EV +0.922%E +0.186%K +0.234%G +0.002%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.63%EV -2.62%E -0.673%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.16%E -0.664%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.17%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -5.19%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:35
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -7.23%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -7.23%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:04
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 06:49
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.73%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.29%EV -10.13%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:53
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -18.64%E -5.74%K -8.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 06:45
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -9.40%E -5.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 06:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-10 17:55