L’École des cotes

Guingamp v Grenoble

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Prévision 54.58%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.49%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.78%54.57%54.45%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.11%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grenoble (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV +0.922%
Avantage +0.186%
Kelly +0.234%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.13%20.37%20.43%22.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.484.504.9525.00%22.30%22.22%20.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.03%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.906%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.17%25.05%25.11%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.61%27.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.02%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.35%EV +0.922%E +0.186%K +0.234%G +0.002%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.63%EV -2.62%E -0.673%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 17:45
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.16%E -0.664%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.17%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -5.19%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.58%E -3.23%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 18:04
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:35
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 17:55
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -7.23%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 17:09
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -7.23%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 17:10
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.62%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:54
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:19
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.13%E -3.56%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:04
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:24
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 08:24
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:09
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 17:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 17:40
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -4.49%E -2.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 17:55
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 09:19
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 06:49
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.73%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.29%EV -10.13%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:53
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -9.95%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-10 17:31
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -18.64%E -5.74%K -8.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -8.31%E -4.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 06:45
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.22%E -4.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -9.40%E -5.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 06:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.38%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-04-10 17:55