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Guingamp v Annecy FC

2026-09-12 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp (Local)

Prediction 42.39%2.36fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.87%42.48%42.32%43.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.54%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%29.51%29.48%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.103.2635.09%32.59%32.26%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.13%3.56fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.622%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%28.01%28.20%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.273.5032.26%30.32%30.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Guingamp (Local): 42.39%; Annecy FC (Visit): 29.49%; Draw: 28.13%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -1.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.70%EV -5.90%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.08%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.22%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.57%EV -5.90%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.63%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.75%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.60%E -3.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.60%E -3.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.622%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.87%E -4.13%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.78%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.99%E -5.23%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.37%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:03
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.99%E -5.23%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.99%E -5.23%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.11%E -6.39%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.19%EV -13.11%E -6.39%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.35%EV -15.96%E -5.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 41.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%16.6%2026-09-05 23:05