Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Guingamp v Annecy FC

2026-09-12 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Guingamp (Casa)

Previsione 42.31%2.36quota equa
EV -6.07%
Vantaggio -2.73%
Kelly -4.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.87%42.45%42.30%43.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.52%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Annecy FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.49%3.39quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.08%29.52%29.50%30.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.073.103.2635.09%32.57%32.26%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.20%3.55quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.370%
Kelly -0.519%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.62%28.03%28.20%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.253.5032.26%30.34%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Guingamp (Casa): 42.31%; Annecy FC (Trasferta): 29.49%; Pareggio: 28.20%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.55. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.50, con un valore atteso del -1.30%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.70%EV -6.07%E -2.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.08%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.22%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.57%EV -6.07%E -2.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.63%EV -5.93%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 00:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.76%E -3.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.76%E -3.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -8.18%E -3.77%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 01:32
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.30%E -0.370%K -0.519%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.30%E -0.370%K -0.519%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.09%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.35%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -10.30%E -4.86%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:03
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.26%E -6.47%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -14.49%E -5.00%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.19%EV -13.26%E -6.47%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.35%EV -15.96%E -5.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -11.17%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%16.6%2026-09-05 23:05