Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp v Amiens

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp (Local)

Prediction 62.03%1.61fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.96%61.90%62.06%63.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.43%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amiens (Visit)

Prediction 16.37%6.11fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.50%16.41%16.36%17.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.1920.00%18.13%18.18%16.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -0.875%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.68%21.58%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.204.4927.78%24.21%23.81%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guingamp (Local): 62.03%; Amiens (Visit): 16.37%; Draw: 21.59%. For Amiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.13%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +1.36%E +0.219%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.37%EV -3.05%E -0.680%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -3.92%E -0.880%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:44
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -4.21%E -0.720%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.51%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.90%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.30%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:45
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:34
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.47%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 14:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -22.27%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.58%E -2.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.58%E -2.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -11.47%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-03-13 18:55