L’École des cotes

Guingamp v Amiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Prévision 62.03%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -5.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.96%61.90%62.06%63.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.43%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.37%6.11cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.261%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.50%16.41%16.36%17.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.506.1920.00%18.13%18.18%16.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -0.875%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.91%21.68%21.58%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.134.204.4927.78%24.21%23.81%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.13%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +1.36%E +0.219%K +0.261%G +0.004%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.37%EV -3.05%E -0.680%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 18:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:45
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.75%E -0.292%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -3.92%E -0.880%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:44
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -4.21%E -0.720%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:54
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:45
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:44
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.81%E -5.99%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.51%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.90%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.30%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.09%E -3.33%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:34
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:45
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:34
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.47%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 14:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 14:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 18:35
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -9.94%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -22.27%E -6.19%K -8.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -5.71%E -3.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.58%E -2.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.58%E -2.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -11.47%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.02%EV -3.23%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:45
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.47%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -14.85%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -16.87%E -4.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.19%E -5.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 18:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.67%E -7.41%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.13%E -3.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-03-13 18:55