Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble v Boulogne

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble (Local)

Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.57%32.03%31.65%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.873.0738.46%35.36%34.90%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boulogne (Visit)

Prediction 36.50%2.74fair odd
EV +0.371%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.212%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%36.23%36.62%37.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.552.7542.02%38.95%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.73%3.15fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.74%31.74%31.73%32.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.903.0636.36%34.48%34.48%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grenoble (Local): 31.77%; Boulogne (Visit): 36.50%; Draw: 31.73%. For Boulogne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.371%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV +0.371%E +0.135%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 18:24
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:35
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:24
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -2.48%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -4.16%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 18:45
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:33
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.58%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:40
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -5.34%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.56%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV -2.89%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:54
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -5.65%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:34
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.72%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:38
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.72%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:34
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:34
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:54
Suprabets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 31.43%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -9.12%E -3.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.09%EV -10.19%E -3.60%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:37
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.80%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.40%EV -9.12%E -3.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.80%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.98%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 18:54
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -13.13%E -5.52%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:49
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12%2.1%2026-02-27 18:54