La escuela de los momios

Grenoble v Boulogne

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grenoble (Local)

Predicción 31.77%3.15momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%32.03%31.65%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.873.0738.46%35.36%34.90%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boulogne (Visitante)

Predicción 36.50%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.371%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.68%36.23%36.62%37.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.572.552.7542.02%38.95%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.73%3.15momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -0.945%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.74%31.74%31.73%32.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.902.903.0636.36%34.48%34.48%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV +0.371%E +0.135%K +0.212%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 18:24
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:35
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:33
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -16.45%E -6.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:34
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -17.41%E -6.69%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -1.45%E -0.538%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:34
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -3.28%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:24
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.36%EV -2.48%E -0.807%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -4.16%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 18:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:33
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -12.64%E -4.60%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:24
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:24
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.58%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:40
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -5.34%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.56%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV -2.89%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:54
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:34
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:38
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -5.65%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:53
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.93%E -2.72%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:34
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.72%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:38
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.72%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:34
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:35
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:34
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:54
Suprabets2.89I 34.60%NM 31.43%EV -8.19%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -9.12%E -3.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.09%EV -10.19%E -3.60%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:37
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.80%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.40%EV -9.12%E -3.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.80%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.98%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -7.33%E -2.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 18:34
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.56%E -3.35%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.58%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 18:54
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -13.13%E -5.52%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:49
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12%2.1%2026-02-27 18:54