The School of Odds
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Clermont v Stade de Reims

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clermont (Local)

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.06%24.60%24.67%25.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.703.9030.30%27.24%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade de Reims (Visit)

Prediction 47.49%2.11fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.70%47.61%50.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.68%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.70%27.71%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.23%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clermont (Local): 24.79%; Stade de Reims (Visit): 47.49%; Draw: 27.72%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -2.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -3.31%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -12.14%E -6.56%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 22:04
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.33%EV -12.62%E -6.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 19:24
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.44%EV -16.42%E -9.33%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-01 14:29
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 24.67%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.13%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.20%EV -6.87%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 21:05
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.07%EV -7.87%E -4.06%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.21%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 20:43
1xBet3.77I 26.53%NM 24.84%EV -6.54%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.92%E -3.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -5.21%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:54
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.99%E -0.854%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:44
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -9.29%E -4.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.99%E -0.854%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 20:19
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:44
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 20:25
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 19:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.29%E -4.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 19:45
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.29%E -4.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 19:44
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.77%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 19:43
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.92%EV -9.29%E -4.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.18%EV -11.86%E -3.73%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 19:18
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.69%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.08%EV -16.42%E -9.33%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 17:14
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.15%EV -15.94%E -9.01%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-01 20:29
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -12.14%E -6.56%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%16.3%2026-08-01 18:50