Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont v Stade de Reims

Início: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Clermont 0–0 Stade de Reims

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont (Local)

Previsão 24.39%4.10odd justa
EV -0.997%
Vantagem -0.245%
Kelly -0.326%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.96%24.37%24.35%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.803.804.0628.57%26.33%26.32%24.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Previsão 47.77%2.09odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.52%47.78%47.71%49.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.911.912.0155.25%52.27%52.36%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.85%3.59odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.85%27.94%29.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.303.303.5032.26%30.29%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Clermont (Local): 24.39%; Stade de Reims (Visitante): 47.77%; Empate: 27.85%. Para Clermont (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.06, com valor esperado de -0.997%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.69%EV -0.997%E -0.245%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.85%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -5.88%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:30
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.46%E -0.615%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.46%E -0.615%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.24%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 18:24
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -9.72%E -5.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:06
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:06
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -3.68%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:29
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:19
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -10.67%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:28
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.76%E -4.59%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -5.39%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.76%E -4.59%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.76%E -4.59%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:19
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.67%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 17:29
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:19
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:19
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.63%E -6.28%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 17:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -11.63%E -6.28%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -12.58%E -6.88%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:29
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.58%E -6.88%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -13.54%E -7.48%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -13.54%E -7.48%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -13.54%E -7.48%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 08:05
Suprabets🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.14%EV -8.07%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.41%EV -8.28%E -4.31%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:22
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:39
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.24%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:29
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.76%E -4.59%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.21%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%EV -7.27%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:38
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -11.63%E -6.28%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -11.63%E -6.28%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:19
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -11.63%E -6.28%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:19
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.74%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -5.42%E -2.74%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:38
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -7.81%E -4.04%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:20
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.58%E -6.88%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 17:29
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -10.67%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-08-08 18:30
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%3.3%2026-08-08 18:40