A Escola das Odds

Clermont v Guingamp

Início: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Final: Clermont 1–0 Guingamp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Clermont (Local)

Previsão 36.68%2.73odd justa
EV -0.952%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.560%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.69%36.74%36.64%38.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.542.522.7042.02%39.42%39.68%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Guingamp (Visitante)

Previsão 36.75%2.72odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.61%36.75%36.75%37.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.492.482.6243.48%40.21%40.32%38.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.57%3.76odd justa
EV -0.377%
Vantagem -0.101%
Kelly -0.137%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.12%26.51%26.61%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.403.7533.33%29.18%29.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:24
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.12%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.92%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.63%EV -4.89%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:50
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:24
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:45
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -5.35%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.05%EV -6.09%E -2.38%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:48
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:54
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:55
Suprabets2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.55%EV -11.07%E -4.57%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.81%EV -9.94%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 17:46
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.19%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.68%EV -7.82%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:44
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.23%EV -9.23%E -3.74%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:49
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -0.377%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:39
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:44
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:14
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:39
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 17:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -15.48%E -6.73%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.30%E -6.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-09 17:54