L’École des cotes

Clermont v Guingamp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Clermont 1–0 Guingamp

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clermont (Local)

Prévision 36.68%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.952%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.560%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.69%36.74%36.64%38.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.542.522.7042.02%39.42%39.68%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Guingamp (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.75%2.72cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.61%36.75%36.75%37.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.482.6243.48%40.21%40.32%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.377%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.51%26.61%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.403.7533.33%29.18%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:24
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -0.952%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.12%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.92%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.63%EV -4.89%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:50
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:24
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:45
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -5.35%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.05%EV -6.09%E -2.38%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.86%E -3.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:48
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:54
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:55
Suprabets2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.55%EV -11.07%E -4.57%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.81%EV -9.94%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 17:46
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.19%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.68%EV -7.82%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:44
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -3.72%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.23%EV -9.23%E -3.74%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:49
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -0.377%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:39
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:40
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:44
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:14
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.38%EV -7.39%E -2.93%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:39
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -3.03%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 17:44
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -15.48%E -6.73%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.30%E -6.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-09 17:54