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Clermont v Dijon

2026-08-21 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clermont (Local)

Prediction 31.12%3.21fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%31.10%30.90%32.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1035.71%34.16%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dijon (Visit)

Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.64%39.89%40.19%41.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.56%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%29.01%28.91%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.203.3033.33%31.83%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clermont (Local): 31.12%; Dijon (Visit): 39.90%; Draw: 28.99%. For Clermont (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -3.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.14%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -13.02%E -5.97%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 12:25
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.57%EV -4.47%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.04%E -3.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -6.67%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 12:35
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.10%E -1.67%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -7.44%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.41%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 12:44
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 12:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 12:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.65%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 13:00
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 12:44
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.21%E -2.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.80%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 12:44
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -9.76%E -3.37%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 12:29
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.39%E -3.61%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.25%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.32%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 12:25
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -11.32%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -8.70%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.32%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -12.22%E -5.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 12:20
Suprabets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -11.32%E -3.97%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -11.03%E -4.94%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.16%EV -11.88%E -3.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 12:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 12:39
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 12:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 12:39
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -12.88%E -4.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -14.22%E -6.61%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-17 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 32.29%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.69%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.02%16.4%2026-08-17 12:30

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