Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clermont v Dijon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 18:00 UTC

Score final : Clermont 1–1 Dijon

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clermont (Local)

Prévision 32.49%3.08cote équitable
EV +0.055%
Avantage +0.018%
Kelly +0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.61%32.55%32.44%34.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.753.0839.22%36.14%36.36%32.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dijon (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.44%2.67cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.37%37.40%37.40%38.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.482.5843.48%40.58%40.32%38.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.08%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.739%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.321%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%30.05%30.16%31.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.073.073.3034.48%32.54%32.57%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clermont (Local) : 32.49% ; Dijon (Visiteur) : 37.44% ; Match nul : 30.08%. Pour Clermont (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.078. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.080, soit une espérance positive de +0.055%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV +0.055%E +0.018%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34%EV -3.42%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.38%EV -7.66%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -0.920%E -0.302%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -10.36%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -0.920%E -0.302%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -10.36%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:49
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.54%E -0.848%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -2.54%E -0.848%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.27%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.17%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.57%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.14%EV -10.66%E -3.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.14%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -7.96%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.79%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 17:44
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.79%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:50
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -6.44%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.72%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -5.55%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.44%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.97%EV -6.77%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.14%EV -7.53%E -3.05%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.89%EV -10.66%E -3.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:39
Suprabets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.68%EV -6.77%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -7.91%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:34
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.42%E -2.60%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:39
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.42%E -2.60%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.42%E -2.60%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:54
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -0.739%E -0.224%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 17:44
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.04%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 12:09
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:54
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 14:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:29
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.90%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.67%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -13.90%E -6.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-21 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.29%E -4.55%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.997%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.29%E -4.55%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.997%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.29%E -4.55%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 17:44
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 12:10
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -14.56%E -5.54%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -14.89%E -5.68%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 12:09
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -14.89%E -5.68%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 12:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -15.54%E -5.98%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -15.54%E -5.98%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -17.16%E -6.73%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -9.03%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -17.16%E -6.73%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -9.03%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -17.16%E -6.73%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -9.03%E -3.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.37%0.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.37%0.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.37%0.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.37%0.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-08-21 17:54