The School of Odds
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Boulogne v Nancy

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne (Local)

Prediction 37.90%2.64fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.17%37.95%37.90%39.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5544.44%41.91%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nancy (Visit)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%33.23%33.27%33.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8739.22%36.47%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.87%3.46fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%28.83%28.83%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.203.3033.90%31.49%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Boulogne (Local): 37.90%; Nancy (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 28.87%. For Boulogne (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -3.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -3.35%E -1.31%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.03%EV -4.64%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.81%EV -8.19%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 21:05
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.00%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:55
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.00%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:30
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 16:49
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.33%EV -7.90%E -3.25%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.22%EV -9.29%E -3.40%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.45%EV -11.07%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 17:44
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.28%E -3.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 16:25
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -8.28%E -3.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -7.63%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 16:24
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.03%E -3.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.03%E -3.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 20:19
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.03%E -3.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 20:25
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.03%E -3.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 16:04
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.03%E -3.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 22:04
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.23%EV -9.41%E -3.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 19:24
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.79%E -4.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 20:25
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 14:23
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 18:57
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -12.82%E -5.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.82%E -5.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 17:15
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -14.72%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 14:25
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -14.72%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -14.72%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-01 17:14
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.81%EV -14.72%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.36%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.84%EV -14.83%E -5.03%K -7.60%G +0.000%17.6%2026-08-01 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 37.96%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.25%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.79%16.6%2026-08-01 18:55