Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne v Nancy

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Boulogne 0–0 Nancy

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne (Local)

Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%35.98%35.95%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.26%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nancy (Visit)

Prediction 33.96%2.94fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.987%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.82%33.91%34.01%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.702.8939.22%37.01%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.12%30.04%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.083.103.2534.84%32.47%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boulogne (Local): 35.98%; Nancy (Visit): 33.96%; Draw: 30.06%. For Boulogne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -1.06%E -0.385%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -8.60%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.60%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.60%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 17:59
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -5.94%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -8.60%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.94%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:14
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:00
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:04
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.11%EV -7.64%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:15
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.11%EV -7.64%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:14
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -7.89%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.91%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.53%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:15
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:02
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:34
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:39
Suprabets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.19%EV -8.66%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.11%EV -13.71%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 05:02
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.69%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.69%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%1.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.0%2026-08-08 18:40

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