Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boulogne v Nancy

Inicio: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Boulogne 0–0 Nancy

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boulogne (Local)

Predicción 35.98%2.78momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.605%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.01%35.98%35.95%36.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.26%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nancy (Visitante)

Predicción 33.96%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.987%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%33.91%34.01%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.702.702.8939.22%37.01%37.04%34.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.92%30.12%30.04%31.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.873.083.103.2534.84%32.47%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boulogne (Local): 35.98%; Nancy (Visitante): 33.96%; Empate: 30.06%. Para Boulogne (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.75, con un valor esperado de -1.06%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -1.06%E -0.385%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -8.60%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.60%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -5.60%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 17:59
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -5.94%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -8.60%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.94%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -10.71%E -3.61%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 11:14
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:00
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:04
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.11%EV -7.64%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:15
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.11%EV -7.64%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:14
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -7.89%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.91%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.53%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:15
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:02
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:34
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 16:39
Suprabets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.19%EV -8.66%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.11%EV -13.71%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 05:02
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.69%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.69%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.60%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.20%1.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.0%2026-08-08 18:40