Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC v Troyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC (Local)

Prediction 34.50%2.90fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%34.47%34.48%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.07%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troyes (Visit)

Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.67%36.46%36.36%37.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.6542.02%39.98%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.07%29.16%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.153.4034.72%31.76%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Annecy FC (Local): 34.50%; Troyes (Visit): 36.40%; Draw: 29.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.84%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.77%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.84%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.77%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -2.37%E -0.836%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 12:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:40
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
Bovada🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -6.16%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.28%E -3.29%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:26
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.51%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.46%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.45%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 19:30
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.69%EV -5.73%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.11%EV -1.63%E -0.482%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:16
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:15
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:38
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:10
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.30%EV -7.89%E -2.95%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 19:35
Suprabets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -8.28%E -3.29%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.65%EV -10.65%E -3.47%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 19:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 19:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 19:15
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -12.03%E -4.72%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 19:19
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.75%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -13.75%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -13.38%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40