La escuela de los momios

Annecy FC v Troyes

Inicio: 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Predicción 34.50%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.588%
Kelly -0.906%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%34.47%34.48%35.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.07%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Troyes (Visitante)

Predicción 36.40%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.67%36.46%36.36%37.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.502.502.6542.02%39.98%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.436%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.07%29.16%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.153.4034.72%31.76%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.84%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.77%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.84%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.77%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -1.68%E -0.588%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 16:45
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -2.37%E -0.836%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 12:25
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:40
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 19:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:15
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -6.16%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.28%E -3.29%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:26
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.51%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.46%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.45%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.05%E -0.308%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 19:30
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.69%EV -5.73%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.11%EV -1.63%E -0.482%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 12:25
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:16
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:38
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:10
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 12:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 34.30%EV -7.89%E -2.95%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.32%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 19:35
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.12%EV -8.28%E -3.29%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.65%EV -10.65%E -3.47%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 19:16
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:25
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.41%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 19:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 19:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.61%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-16 16:49
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 12:20
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 19:39
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 12:25
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 19:15
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -12.03%E -4.72%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 19:19
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.75%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.78%E -3.15%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -13.75%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -13.38%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -16.18%E -5.62%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-16 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%0.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-03-16 19:40