The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Annecy FC v Metz

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Final: Annecy FC 1–1 Metz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC (Local)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%32.55%32.56%34.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.802.803.0038.02%35.77%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Metz (Visit)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.03%37.88%37.87%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.422.402.5543.86%41.27%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.48%3.39fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.62%29.56%29.57%32.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.153.4035.71%31.80%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Annecy FC (Local): 32.58%; Metz (Visit): 37.93%; Draw: 29.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.247%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV +0.247%E +0.073%K +0.103%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.23%E -0.366%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -3.56%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.92%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.54%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.18%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.18%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.18%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 11:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:45
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 11:45
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.86%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:55
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.66%E -5.15%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.75%E -5.55%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.77%EV -13.51%E -5.93%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.77%EV -13.51%E -5.93%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.77%EV -13.51%E -5.93%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -5.84%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.24%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.25%E -0.751%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -8.20%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.25%E -0.751%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -8.20%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 11:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:54
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 11:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -8.12%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 11:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.75%E -5.55%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.60%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Suprabets🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%EV -7.79%E -2.75%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -10.10%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -9.19%E -2.98%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:55
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -10.07%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 11:56
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 11:44
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.74%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 11:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 11:55
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.03%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.55%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 11:45
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.50%E -5.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -3.88%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -17.44%E -6.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-29 11:55
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-08-29 11:55