Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Annecy FC v Metz

2026-08-29 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Annecy FC (Local)

Previsão 37.30%2.68odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%37.31%37.22%38.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.452.6043.48%40.90%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Metz (Visitante)

Previsão 33.53%2.98odd justa
EV +0.580%
Vantagem +0.193%
Kelly +0.290%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.33%33.48%33.59%35.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.742.753.0040.00%36.54%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.17%3.43odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.416%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.68%29.21%29.20%30.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.123.103.3834.48%32.06%32.26%29.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Annecy FC (Local): 37.30%; Metz (Visitante): 33.53%; Empate: 29.17%. Para Metz (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.98. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.580%.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +0.580%E +0.193%K +0.290%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 14:19
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.77%E -0.956%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 14:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -2.77%E -0.956%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 14:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.67%EV -9.72%E -4.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -2.77%E -0.956%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.67%EV -9.72%E -4.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -2.77%E -0.956%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 14:49
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.22%E -4.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 14:49
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -11.59%E -4.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -12.34%E -5.25%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-24 14:19
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 19:19
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -7.80%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 14:19
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.81%E -3.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.37%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.81%E -3.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.87%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.03%EV -1.41%E -0.416%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 20:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:44
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.48%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -10.15%E -3.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 21:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -10.15%E -3.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 20:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.74%E -2.70%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -12.83%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -8.61%E -3.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.83%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -15.41%E -5.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-24 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.83%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.01%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -14.51%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 19:19
Suprabets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 36.73%EV -10.10%E -4.19%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.99%EV -15.18%E -6.00%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.28%EV -8.70%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 19:17
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -16.18%E -6.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 19:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.