The School of OddsTroyes v Paris FC
Head to Head
Option 1: Troyes (Local)
Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.6837.29%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.8135.59%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.39%2.995Min
35.09%2.849Max
34.38%2.909Mean
34.65%2.886Median
34.47%2.901IQM
34.36%2.911Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.81 under the IQM model: 34.47%
EV -3.15%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.74%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Paris FC (Visit)
Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.4341.10%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.5539.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.35%2.677Min
39.09%2.558Max
37.83%2.643Mean
37.51%2.666Median
37.72%2.651IQM
37.79%2.646Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 37.72%
EV -3.81%Edge -1.49%Kelly -2.46%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0532.79%Min
3.3929.49%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.8126.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.85%3.868Min
29.22%3.423Max
27.79%3.599Mean
27.85%3.591Median
27.81%3.596IQM
27.85%3.590Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.81 under the IQM model: 27.81%
EV +5.96%Edge +1.56%Kelly +2.12%Growth +0.126%
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Troyes (Local) | Paris FC (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.81I 35.59% NM 35.06%EV -3.15% E -1.12% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68% NM 39.09%EV -4.94% E -1.96% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25% NM 25.85%EV +5.96% E +1.56% K +2.12% G +0.126% | 1.5% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71% NM 34.77%EV -3.49% E -1.25% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 38.18%EV -3.81% E -1.49% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 27.05%EV +0.119% E +0.033% K +0.046% G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.65%EV -5.22% E -1.90% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -5.69% E -2.28% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.23%EV -2.66% E -0.761% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.07%EV -6.94% E -2.57% K -4.08% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.88%EV -5.69% E -2.28% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV -2.66% E -0.761% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.39%EV -5.22% E -1.90% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.60%EV -7.58% E -3.09% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.02%EV -2.66% E -0.761% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17% NM 35.09%EV -9.70% E -3.70% K -5.99% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 38.63%EV -10.22% E -4.29% K -7.41% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.27%EV -2.66% E -0.761% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 19:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.63%EV -5.22% E -1.90% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.35%EV -3.81% E -1.49% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 28.01%EV -5.44% E -1.60% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -5.22% E -1.90% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -7.58% E -3.09% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.59%EV -5.44% E -1.60% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.53%EV -6.94% E -2.57% K -4.08% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.05%EV -7.58% E -3.09% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.42%EV -5.44% E -1.60% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.26%EV -6.94% E -2.57% K -4.08% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.54%EV -9.47% E -3.94% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.20%EV -5.44% E -1.60% K -2.27% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 12:38 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.81%EV -8.66% E -3.27% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.65%EV -7.58% E -3.09% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.54%EV -6.83% E -2.04% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 34.97%EV -10.39% E -3.99% K -6.49% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.89%EV -9.47% E -3.94% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.14%EV -6.83% E -2.04% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.67%EV -8.66% E -3.27% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 37.50%EV -7.58% E -3.09% K -5.23% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.84%EV -8.22% E -2.49% K -3.58% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -3.49% E -1.25% K -1.94% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.40%EV -5.69% E -2.28% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.22%EV -11.01% E -3.44% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 33.98%EV -10.39% E -3.99% K -6.49% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.41%EV -13.24% E -5.76% K -10.18% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.61%EV -11.01% E -3.44% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.58I 38.76% NM 34.00%EV -11.08% E -4.29% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.14%EV -13.24% E -5.76% K -10.18% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 27.85%EV -12.40% E -3.94% K -5.77% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-03 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 34.75%EV -17.28% E -7.20% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 37.91%EV -17.01% E -7.73% K -14.18% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 27.34%EV -15.18% E -4.98% K -7.40% G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Troyes (Local) | Paris FC (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |