The School of Odds

Troyes v Paris FC

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

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Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Troyes (Local)

Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.94%34.86%34.87%36.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8039%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Paris FC (Visit)

Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%38.00%38.12%38.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.5543%41%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV +2.34%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.04%27.14%27.01%28.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.423.7832%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%EV -2.36%E -0.842%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.77%EV -3.35%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.05%EV +2.34%E +0.620%K +0.843%G +0.020%1.5%2026-07-14 05:49
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +0.718%E +0.193%K +0.264%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-14 05:48
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.97%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.703%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 15:30
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.53%E -0.703%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 08:14
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -8.63%E -3.30%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.53%E -0.703%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 12:39
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.53%E -0.703%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.88%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 15:34
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.54%E -2.44%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.11%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -3.88%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.54%E -2.44%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.11%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -3.88%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 10:24
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -5.15%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -4.11%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 13:19
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 10:15
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 08:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:20
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 03:52
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -8.28%E -3.15%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 08:15
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -8.28%E -3.15%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 08:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.63%E -3.30%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 08:14
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:04
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.24%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:03
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.97%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 13:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 16:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 34.68%EV -5.15%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.58%EV -7.40%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 08:10
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 18:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 13:49
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.63%E -3.30%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-15 20:04
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 13:49
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.30%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 13:49
Suprabets2.65I 37.74%NM 34.64%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.62%EV -7.15%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.73%EV -10.38%E -3.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 01:26
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 16:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 12:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.35%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.33%EV -11.34%E -4.87%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -11.47%E -3.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 18:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.10%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.87%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.01%E -3.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.48%E -5.43%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.36%E -4.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-11 18:29
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -8.28%E -3.15%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -16.07%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -8.28%E -3.15%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.67%E -3.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -16.07%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 12:50
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 35.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%9.8%2026-07-20 05:50