La escuela de los momios

Troyes v Paris FC

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Troyes (Local)

Predicción 34.90%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.941%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.94%34.92%34.85%36.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.7940.00%37.37%37.04%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paris FC (Visitante)

Predicción 38.07%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.05%38.19%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.5543.48%40.71%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV +2.15%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.774%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%27.03%26.96%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.7832.26%29.33%29.41%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 35.31%EV -2.63%E -0.941%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.63%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.06%EV +2.15%E +0.569%K +0.774%G +0.017%1.5%2026-07-25 18:54
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -4.37%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +0.529%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.2%2026-07-25 18:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 15:30
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 08:14
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 12:39
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 15:34
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.46%E -2.41%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.05%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 16:30
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.46%E -2.41%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.05%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -5.07%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -4.05%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 13:19
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 08:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:20
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 03:52
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 08:15
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 08:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 08:14
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:04
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:03
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.75%E -5.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 19:40
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.84%EV -4.05%E -1.61%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -6.23%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:05
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 13:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 18:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 13:49
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-15 20:04
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:49
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 13:49
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 13:49
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 16:30
Suprabets2.65I 37.74%NM 34.64%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.62%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.73%EV -10.55%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 01:26
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-03 16:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.51%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 12:14
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.35%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.33%EV -11.29%E -4.84%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -11.63%E -3.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 18:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.02%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.52%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-11 18:29
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -16.23%E -5.23%K -7.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -16.23%E -5.23%K -7.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-07-25 17:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 31.97%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%19.4%2026-07-26 02:04