Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Strasbourg v Auxerre

2026-11-01 14:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Strasbourg (Local)

Prediction 52.40%1.91fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.19%52.45%52.51%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.801.8760.24%56.06%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auxerre (Visit)

Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV -0.910%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%23.78%23.77%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.904.1628.57%25.77%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.78%4.20fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%23.77%23.72%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.903.904.1627.40%25.67%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Strasbourg (Local): 52.40%; Auxerre (Visit): 23.82%; Draw: 23.78%. For Auxerre (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.16, with an expected value of -0.910%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.67%EV -0.910%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.67%EV -1.06%E -0.254%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-18 20:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.21%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 21:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 20:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.67%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV -3.67%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.69%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:13
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 20:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 19:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 19:49
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 19:20
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 19:19
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -8.83%E -5.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.88%E -5.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.79%EV -11.45%E -6.78%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -9.96%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -10.09%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -11.98%E -7.13%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.84%EV -13.02%E -7.85%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-18 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.87%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%3.9%2026-10-18 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 47.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 26.66%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.14%87.5%2026-10-19 01:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 47.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 26.66%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.14%87.5%2026-10-19 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 39.30%1.10I 90.91%NM 39.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 21.40%131.3%2026-10-19 01:14
Smarkets◎1.05I 95.24%NM 40.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 37.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 22.12%133.0%2026-10-19 01:14