Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Strasbourg v Auxerre

2026-11-01 14:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Testa a testa

28 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Strasbourg (Casa)

Previsione 52.40%1.91quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.19%52.45%52.51%54.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.781.801.8760.24%56.06%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Auxerre (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.82%4.20quota equa
EV -0.910%
Vantaggio -0.219%
Kelly -0.288%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.81%23.78%23.77%24.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.883.904.1628.57%25.77%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.78%4.20quota equa
EV -1.06%
Vantaggio -0.254%
Kelly -0.334%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.81%23.77%23.72%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.903.904.1627.40%25.67%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Strasbourg (Casa): 52.40%; Auxerre (Trasferta): 23.82%; Pareggio: 23.78%. Per Auxerre (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.20. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.16, con un valore atteso del -0.910%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.67%EV -0.910%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.67%EV -1.06%E -0.254%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-18 20:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.21%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 21:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 20:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.67%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV -3.53%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.67%EV -3.67%E -0.907%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.69%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.81%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:04
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:13
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 20:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.86%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 19:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 19:49
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 19:20
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 19:19
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.48%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -8.83%E -5.08%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.68%E -2.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.88%E -5.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.34%E -0.570%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.48%E -0.606%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.79%EV -11.45%E -6.78%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -9.96%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -10.09%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -11.98%E -7.13%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.87%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.84%EV -13.02%E -7.85%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -16.63%E -4.75%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -13.19%E -3.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-18 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.87%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%3.9%2026-10-18 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 47.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 26.54%2.06I 48.54%NM 26.02%86.5%2026-10-19 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 47.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 26.54%2.06I 48.54%NM 26.02%86.5%2026-10-19 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 39.38%1.10I 90.91%NM 39.38%2.04I 49.02%NM 21.24%130.8%2026-10-19 01:29
Smarkets◎1.05I 95.24%NM 40.92%1.16I 86.21%NM 37.04%1.95I 51.28%NM 22.04%132.7%2026-10-19 01:29