The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rennes v Lille

2026-11-08 14:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes (Local)

Prediction 46.62%2.15fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.50%46.56%46.66%47.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.022.052.0752.08%49.50%48.78%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lille (Visit)

Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.163%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%28.39%28.27%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.213.203.5435.09%31.17%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.01%4.00fair odd
EV -0.442%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.05%25.07%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.703.9828.57%26.99%27.03%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rennes (Local): 46.62%; Lille (Visit): 28.37%; Draw: 25.01%. For Lille (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.54, producing a positive expected value of +0.415%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.51%EV -3.50%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.78%EV +0.415%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-25 21:18
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -0.720%E -0.206%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -5.69%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 22:27
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.48%EV -5.83%E -2.89%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.14%E -0.620%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.94%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:58
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 20:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 01:11
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 20:58
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.83%E -2.89%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 21:01
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 20:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.95%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -12.63%E -4.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.02%E -5.19%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.00%EV -10.49%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.32%EV -19.16%E -6.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.69%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-25 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 44.70%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%15.9%2026-10-25 21:27
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 28.98%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.83%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.19%153.7%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 28.98%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.83%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.19%153.7%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.94%172.8%2026-10-25 22:38