Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rennes v Lille

2026-11-08 14:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rennes (Casa)

Previsione 46.62%2.15quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.50%46.56%46.66%47.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.022.052.0752.08%49.50%48.78%48.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lille (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.37%3.53quota equa
EV +0.415%
Vantaggio +0.117%
Kelly +0.163%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%28.39%28.27%30.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.213.203.5435.09%31.17%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV -0.442%
Vantaggio -0.111%
Kelly -0.148%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.15%25.05%25.07%26.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.703.703.9828.57%26.99%27.03%25.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Rennes (Casa): 46.62%; Lille (Trasferta): 28.37%; Pareggio: 25.01%. Per Lille (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.53. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.54, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.415%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.51%EV -3.50%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.78%EV +0.415%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.111%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-25 21:18
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -0.720%E -0.206%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -5.69%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 22:27
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.48%EV -5.83%E -2.89%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -2.14%E -0.620%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.72%EV -2.94%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:58
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 20:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:58
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 01:11
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.44%E -0.626%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 20:58
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 21:27
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.83%E -2.89%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 21:01
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.95%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 20:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.95%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -12.63%E -4.10%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -11.20%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.45%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -10.02%E -5.19%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.00%EV -10.49%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.32%EV -19.16%E -6.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.69%EV -12.45%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-25 20:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 44.70%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%15.9%2026-10-25 21:27
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 28.98%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.83%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.19%153.7%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 28.98%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.83%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.19%153.7%2026-10-25 22:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.94%172.8%2026-10-25 22:38