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RC Lens v Toulouse

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RC Lens (Local)

Prediction 49.40%2.02fair odd
EV -0.203%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%49.30%49.42%50.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.881.872.0258.82%53.31%53.48%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toulouse (Visit)

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV +0.539%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.186%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.87%25.77%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.603.9031.25%27.71%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.246%
Kelly +0.326%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.94%24.83%24.81%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.704.0728.57%26.73%27.03%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: RC Lens (Local): 49.40%; Toulouse (Visit): 25.78%; Draw: 24.82%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.07, producing a positive expected value of +1.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.82%EV -0.203%E -0.100%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%EV -5.65%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 24.23%EV +1.00%E +0.246%K +0.326%G +0.003%1.4%2026-11-02 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-02 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -1.73%E -0.436%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-02 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.33%E -0.887%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-02 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.11%E -4.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -11.06%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.12%E -3.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.11%E -4.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.12%E -3.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -10.08%E -5.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -16.01%E -9.42%K -22.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -12.55%E -7.09%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.71%EV -13.05%E -7.41%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -17.51%E -5.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.14%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-02 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.28%1xBet 2.02 (49.6%) / LeoVegas (SE) 3.90 (25.7%) / 1xBet 4.07 (24.6%)Show all 4 combinations
RC Lens (Local)Toulouse (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.90 (25.7%)1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.285%