默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

RC Lens v Toulouse

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

49%

26%

25%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

RC Lens (主队)

预测 49.40%2.02公平赔率

EV -0.203%

优势 -0.100%

Kelly -0.199%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布

48.16%49.30%49.42%50.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.701.881.872.0258.82%53.31%53.48%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toulouse (客队)

预测 25.78%3.88公平赔率

EV +0.539%

优势 +0.138%

Kelly +0.186%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布

24.97%25.87%25.77%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.203.613.603.9031.25%27.71%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.82%4.03公平赔率

EV +1.00%

优势 +0.246%

Kelly +0.326%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.07

博彩公司预测分布

23.94%24.83%24.81%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.503.743.704.0728.57%26.73%27.03%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：RC Lens (主队)：49.40%；Toulouse (客队)：25.78%；平局：24.82%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.03。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.07，由此产生+1.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局 ▼	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.82%EV -0.203%E -0.100%K -0.199%G +0.000%	3.66I 27.32%NM 26.95%EV -5.65%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.07I 24.57%NM 24.23%EV +1.00%E +0.246%K +0.326%G +0.003%	1.4%	2026-11-02 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-11-02 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-11-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.57%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +0.539%E +0.138%K +0.186%G +0.001%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.735%E -0.184%K -0.245%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-11-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.89%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -1.73%E -0.436%K -0.584%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-02 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.33%E -0.887%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-02 13:30
BetRivers🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.11%E -4.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -11.06%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -7.12%E -3.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.11%E -4.36%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.12%E -3.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-02 12:40
TABtouch🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-02 12:40
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-02 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -10.08%E -5.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -8.48%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -16.01%E -9.42%K -22.87%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-11-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -12.55%E -7.09%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 48.71%EV -13.05%E -7.41%K -17.17%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -17.51%E -5.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.14%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%	16.6%	2026-11-02 12:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

套利（4 种组合） +0.28%1xBet 2.02 (49.6%) / LeoVegas (SE) 3.90 (25.7%) / 1xBet 4.07 (24.6%)显示全部 4 种组合

RC Lens (主队)	Toulouse (客队)	平局	利润率
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)	LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)	+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)	Unibet (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)	+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)	ATG (SE)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)	+0.285%
1xBet🎯 2.02 (49.6%)	Svenska Spel🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	1xBet🎯 4.07 (24.6%)	+0.285%