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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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RC Lens v Lorient

2026-09-05 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

RC Lens (主队)

预测 65.01%1.54公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -4.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.74%65.13%65.15%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.57%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lorient (客队)

预测 14.75%6.78公平赔率
EV +6.90%
优势 +0.952%
Kelly +1.10%
增长率 +0.076%

假设最高赔率为 7.25

博彩公司预测分布
13.10%14.63%14.62%16.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.206.306.257.2519.23%15.87%16.00%13.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.24%4.94公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
19.46%20.24%20.23%21.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.89%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：RC Lens (主队)：65.01%；Lorient (客队)：14.75%；平局：20.24%。 对于“Lorient (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.78。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为7.25，由此产生+6.90%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.11%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.42%EV +6.90%E +0.952%K +1.10%G +0.076%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.8%2026-08-30 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -10.94%E -7.98%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.33%EV +1.15%E +0.168%K +0.197%G +0.002%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.14%EV -1.21%E -0.248%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.46%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -0.470%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.12%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -0.470%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.19%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.63%EV -3.42%E -0.522%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 12:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.59%E -8.52%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 13:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.83%EV -5.34%E -0.831%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.43%EV -5.66%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.63%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 19:20
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 15:20
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.85%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.43%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.74%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -23.32%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 12:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%14.0%2026-08-30 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45