Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RC Lens v Lorient

2026-09-05 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RC Lens (Local)

Prévision 65.01%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -4.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.74%65.13%65.15%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.57%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lorient (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.75%6.78cote équitable
EV +6.90%
Avantage +0.952%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.10%14.63%14.62%16.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.306.257.2519.23%15.87%16.00%13.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.24%4.94cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.46%20.24%20.23%21.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.89%21.74%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : RC Lens (Local) : 65.01% ; Lorient (Visiteur) : 14.75% ; Match nul : 20.24%. Pour Lorient (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.78. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 7.25, pour une espérance positive de +6.90%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.11%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.42%EV +6.90%E +0.952%K +1.10%G +0.076%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%2.8%2026-08-30 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -10.94%E -7.98%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +3.22%E +0.460%K +0.536%G +0.017%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.33%EV +1.15%E +0.168%K +0.197%G +0.002%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.14%EV -1.21%E -0.248%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.46%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -0.470%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -2.83%E -0.589%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.12%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -0.470%E -0.070%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.19%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.63%EV -3.42%E -0.522%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 12:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 13:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.59%E -8.52%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.16%E -0.639%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 13:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 14.83%EV -5.34%E -0.831%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.43%EV -5.66%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.63%E -0.880%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.78%E -2.56%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.43%E -3.02%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 19:20
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 15:20
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.85%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.43%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.74%EV -10.28%E -7.45%K -27.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -23.32%E -4.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%14.0%2026-08-30 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:45