The School of Odds

RC Lens v Auxerre

2026-08-22 15:00 — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: RC Lens (Local)

1.4170.92%Min
1.5066.52%Mean
1.5066.67%Median
1.5763.69%Max
59.54%1.680Min
62.66%1.596Max
61.73%1.620Mean
61.85%1.617Median
61.76%1.619IQM
61.79%1.618Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.57 under the IQM model: 61.76%

EV -3.03%Edge -1.93%Kelly -5.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Auxerre (Visit)

4.5022.22%Min
5.4818.25%Mean
5.5018.18%Median
6.0916.42%Max
15.85%6.307Min
18.66%5.360Max
16.86%5.932Mean
16.99%5.888Median
16.89%5.920IQM
16.86%5.930Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.09 under the IQM model: 16.89%

EV +2.87%Edge +0.471%Kelly +0.564%Growth +0.016%

Option 3: Draw

3.8525.97%Min
4.2923.29%Mean
4.3323.09%Median
4.6221.65%Max
20.75%4.818Min
22.33%4.479Max
21.41%4.670Mean
21.17%4.725Median
21.34%4.685IQM
21.34%4.685Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.62 under the IQM model: 21.34%

EV -1.39%Edge -0.301%Kelly -0.384%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRC Lens (Local)Auxerre (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.57I 63.69% NM 62.59%EV -3.03% E -1.93% K -5.32% G +0.000%6.09I 16.42% NM 16.14%EV +2.87% E +0.471% K +0.564% G +0.016%4.62I 21.65% NM 21.27%EV -1.39% E -0.301% K -0.384% G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-04 04:09
Coolbet1.55I 64.52% NM 62.39%EV -4.27% E -2.75% K -7.76% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 16.12%EV +1.35% E +0.225% K +0.270% G +0.004%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.49%EV -3.95% E -0.878% K -1.13% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-03 17:50
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36% NM 62.18%EV -5.50% E -3.60% K -10.38% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV +1.35% E +0.225% K +0.270% G +0.004%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.97%EV -7.58% E -1.75% K -2.28% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 14:54
SportsBet1.54I 64.94% NM 61.90%EV -4.88% E -3.17% K -9.04% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.44%EV -2.03% E -0.350% K -0.423% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.66%EV -6.09% E -1.38% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 11:40
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.12%EV -6.12% E -4.03% K -11.77% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.42%EV -2.87% E -0.500% K -0.605% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.46%EV -6.09% E -1.38% K -1.79% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 14:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57% NM 62.66%EV -8.59% E -5.80% K -17.89% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.27%EV -3.72% E -0.652% K -0.791% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.08%EV -6.09% E -1.38% K -1.79% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-03 14:55
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94% NM 61.83%EV -4.88% E -3.17% K -9.04% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 17.00%EV -5.41% E -0.965% K -1.18% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.16%EV -3.95% E -0.878% K -1.13% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 07:50
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.26%EV -7.35% E -4.90% K -14.71% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.98%EV -7.10% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.75%EV -3.95% E -0.878% K -1.13% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 13:44
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 60.88%EV -5.50% E -3.60% K -10.38% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.94%EV -7.10% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.18%EV -10.35% E -2.47% K -3.24% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 11:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67% NM 61.35%EV -7.35% E -4.90% K -14.71% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.73%EV -7.10% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -10.35% E -2.47% K -3.24% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-03 15:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67% NM 61.03%EV -7.35% E -4.90% K -14.71% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.64%EV -7.10% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.33%EV -12.49% E -3.05% K -4.03% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 07:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67% NM 61.28%EV -7.35% E -4.90% K -14.71% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.34%EV -10.47% E -1.98% K -2.44% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.38%EV -8.22% E -1.91% K -2.49% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 07:54
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67% NM 60.87%EV -7.35% E -4.90% K -14.71% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.39%EV -11.32% E -2.16% K -2.66% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -10.35% E -2.47% K -3.24% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 07:49
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11% NM 61.32%EV -7.97% E -5.35% K -16.27% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.92%EV -13.85% E -2.72% K -3.38% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.77%EV -6.09% E -1.38% K -1.79% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 07:50
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44% NM 60.89%EV -11.06% E -7.68% K -25.14% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.19%EV -13.85% E -2.72% K -3.38% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.92%EV -14.62% E -3.66% K -4.87% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 07:50
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44% NM 60.89%EV -11.06% E -7.68% K -25.14% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 17.19%EV -13.85% E -2.72% K -3.38% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.92%EV -14.62% E -3.66% K -4.87% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 07:49
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92% NM 59.54%EV -12.91% E -9.16% K -31.49% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 18.66%EV -23.99% E -5.33% K -6.85% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 21.81%EV -17.82% E -4.63% K -6.25% G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-04 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerRC Lens (Local)Auxerre (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%194.1%2026-07-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%194.1%2026-07-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%194.1%2026-07-03 15:15