La escuela de los momios

RC Lens v Auxerre

2026-08-22 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RC Lens (Local)

Predicción 58.82%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.66%58.82%58.80%60.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.601.6665.79%62.73%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Auxerre (Visitante)

Predicción 18.70%5.35momio equitativo
EV +0.961%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.71%18.70%18.64%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.965.005.4021.74%20.16%20.00%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.49%4.45momio equitativo
EV +0.283%
Ventaja +0.064%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%22.49%22.55%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.004.4626.67%24.47%25.00%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.78%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:25
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.78%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:25
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.40%EV -2.36%E -1.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.50%EV -0.347%E -0.065%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.11%EV +0.283%E +0.064%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -2.95%E -1.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -3.31%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-24 15:35
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -4.13%E -2.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.07%E -0.242%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 14:15
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.48%E -4.07%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 03:52
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -8.83%E -5.70%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.31%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-14 15:44
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -4.27%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.57%EV -4.27%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:19
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.86%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 19:50
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.16%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.56%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 15:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -6.48%E -4.07%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 19:50
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -3.31%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 15:34
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 16:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 19:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 00:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 00:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 17:25
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 15:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -4.71%E -2.91%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 00:39
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -6.48%E -4.07%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 19:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 19:49
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:45
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:55
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 22:49
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 12:59
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 12:57
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -5.30%E -3.29%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 15:35
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.27%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.86%EV -9.32%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:22
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.83%E -5.70%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -9.32%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.43%E -3.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 17:25
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:05
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:04
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.68%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 23:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.07%E -4.47%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 19:49
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.01%E -6.54%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.50%EV -10.01%E -6.54%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -11.18%E -2.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 02:22
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -7.66%E -4.88%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -12.13%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -8.24%E -5.28%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -8.24%E -5.28%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.81%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:25
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.07%E -4.47%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.07%E -4.47%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-09 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -10.60%E -6.97%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -14.56%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 02:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-07-25 15:40