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Lyon v Rennes

2026-09-19 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyon (Local)

Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%48.99%48.90%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.922.0156.18%52.26%52.22%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rennes (Visit)

Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.403%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.58%26.75%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.403.8031.25%28.98%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV -0.926%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%24.44%24.36%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.844.0628.17%26.09%26.04%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lyon (Local): 48.98%; Rennes (Visit): 26.61%; Draw: 24.40%. For Lyon (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.02, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%EV -1.05%E -0.520%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%EV -1.53%E -0.414%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.72%EV -2.88%E -0.723%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -1.53%E -0.414%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -2.86%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.01%E -1.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -3.66%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.78%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.80%EV -6.06%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.42%EV -8.98%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:44
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.66%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.14%EV -7.92%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.20%EV -5.32%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -3.50%E -1.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.39%E -0.598%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 15:20
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.37%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -12.81%E -7.19%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -12.15%E -3.38%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 19:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.60%EV -12.81%E -7.19%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.37%EV -13.37%E -3.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 46.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%12.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 17:15