默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lyon v Rennes

2026-09-19 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lyon (主队)

预测 48.83%2.05公平赔率
EV -1.85%
优势 -0.920%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
47.83%48.91%48.83%50.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.921.922.0156.18%52.15%51.95%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rennes (客队)

预测 26.76%3.74公平赔率
EV +1.70%
优势 +0.447%
Kelly +0.607%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
25.00%26.64%26.81%28.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.443.403.8031.75%29.05%29.41%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.41%4.10公平赔率
EV -0.913%
优势 -0.225%
Kelly -0.298%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.06

博彩公司预测分布
23.65%24.45%24.36%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.843.854.0628.17%26.08%25.97%24.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lyon (主队):48.83%;Rennes (客队):26.76%;平局:24.41%。 对于“Rennes (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.80,由此产生+1.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV +1.70%E +0.447%K +0.607%G +0.010%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.69%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.977%E -0.264%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 19:15
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.95%EV -1.85%E -0.920%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV -1.78%E -0.485%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 24.24%EV -0.913%E -0.225%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-06 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.31%E -1.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -3.12%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.38%E -0.594%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.11%EV -5.27%E -2.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -3.84%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.48%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.20%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.48%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.34%EV -10.15%E -5.52%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.34%EV -8.97%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -3.80%E -1.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -2.38%E -0.594%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.38%E -0.594%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.38%E -0.594%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 15:20
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.70%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.70%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.70%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.70%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -9.17%E -4.93%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 20:10
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.78%E -2.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.82%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.26%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.10%E -6.72%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.14%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.39%EV -13.08%E -7.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -15.70%E -4.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -13.36%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 20:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 47.21%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%8.1%2026-09-06 20:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 47.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20%16.7%2026-09-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 30.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 30.82%1.02I 98.04%NM 38.37%155.5%2026-09-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.30%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.61%183.3%2026-09-06 20:30