The School of Odds
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Lorient v Brest

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorient (Local)

Prediction 36.30%2.75fair odd
EV -0.902%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%36.25%36.35%37.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.552.7342.55%38.83%39.22%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brest (Visit)

Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.10%36.47%36.38%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.42%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.753%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.28%27.27%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorient (Local): 36.30%; Brest (Visit): 36.47%; Draw: 27.23%. For Lorient (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.73, with an expected value of -0.902%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 36.06%EV -0.902%E -0.331%K -0.522%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.60%EV -1.90%E -0.708%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-18 21:25
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.99%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 21:23
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.99%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.03%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.58%EV -4.46%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 21:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.90%E -1.87%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.54%E -0.570%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -4.09%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 21:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.62%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 21:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.43%EV -8.53%E -3.38%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.21%E -5.55%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 23:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -4.09%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 21:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -4.46%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 21:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 21:24
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 21:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.25%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -11.07%E -4.52%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-18 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -14.70%E -6.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-18 21:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-10-18 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:44
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%9.1%2026-10-18 23:55