默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorient v Brest

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorient (主队)

预测 36.42%2.75公平赔率
EV -0.587%
优势 -0.215%
Kelly -0.339%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.73

博彩公司预测分布
34.24%36.30%36.48%37.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.582.552.7342.55%38.83%39.22%36.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brest (客队)

预测 36.33%2.75公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -0.705%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.10%36.38%36.31%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.36%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.25%3.67公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.525%
Kelly -0.727%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.40%27.32%27.22%28.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lorient (主队):36.42%;Brest (客队):36.33%;平局:27.25%。 对于“Lorient (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.75。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.73,期望值为-0.587%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 36.06%EV -0.587%E -0.215%K -0.339%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.60%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-18 21:25
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.68%E -0.622%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 21:23
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.68%E -0.622%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.99%E -4.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.68%E -0.622%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.99%E -4.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.68%E -0.622%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.99%E -4.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:24
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.68%E -0.622%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.99%E -4.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.03%EV -3.14%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.58%EV -4.81%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 21:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -1.90%E -0.705%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -4.45%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 21:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 21:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 21:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.43%EV -8.23%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.53%E -5.68%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.72%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.54%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 23:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -4.45%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 21:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -4.81%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 21:18
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.99%E -4.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 21:24
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.17%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 21:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-18 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -14.62%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-18 21:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-10-18 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%3.2%2026-10-18 23:44
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%9.1%2026-10-18 23:55