The School of Odds

Le Mans FC v Brest

2026-08-22 15:00 — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Le Mans FC (Local)

Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.7136.93%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8734.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.43%2.991Min
34.90%2.865Max
33.96%2.945Mean
33.93%2.948Median
33.94%2.946IQM
33.98%2.943Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.87 under the IQM model: 33.94%

EV -2.59%Edge -0.902%Kelly -1.38%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Brest (Visit)

Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.3842.10%Mean
2.3842.02%Median
2.5239.68%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.98%2.633Min
40.13%2.492Max
38.67%2.586Mean
38.49%2.598Median
38.56%2.593IQM
38.69%2.585Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.52 under the IQM model: 38.56%

EV -2.82%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.86%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.4329.12%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7126.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.19%3.818Min
27.71%3.609Max
27.37%3.654Mean
27.59%3.625Median
27.50%3.637IQM
27.33%3.659Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.71 under the IQM model: 27.50%

EV +2.01%Edge +0.541%Kelly +0.741%Growth +0.015%

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLe Mans FC (Local)Brest (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet2.85I 35.09% NM 34.21%EV -3.27% E -1.15% K -1.77% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 39.79%EV -5.52% E -2.25% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 26.00%EV +3.11% E +0.828% K +1.13% G +0.035%2.6%2026-07-03 17:50
1xBet2.87I 34.84% NM 34.34%EV -2.59% E -0.902% K -1.38% G +0.000%2.52I 39.68% NM 39.10%EV -2.82% E -1.12% K -1.86% G +0.000%3.71I 26.95% NM 26.56%EV +2.01% E +0.541% K +0.741% G +0.015%1.5%2026-07-04 15:50
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -4.96% E -1.77% K -2.76% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.62%EV -7.45% E -3.10% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -1.02% E -0.283% K -0.391% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 14:54
SportsBet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.68%EV -4.96% E -1.77% K -2.76% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.13%EV -9.38% E -3.99% K -6.95% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.19%EV -1.02% E -0.283% K -0.391% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 11:40
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.65%EV -6.66% E -2.42% K -3.81% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -3.59% E -1.44% K -2.39% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.23%EV -3.77% E -1.08% K -1.51% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 14:40
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -4.96% E -1.77% K -2.76% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -7.45% E -3.10% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -3.77% E -1.08% K -1.51% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 14:50
FanDuel2.80I 35.71% NM 33.43%EV -4.96% E -1.77% K -2.76% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.83%EV -9.38% E -3.99% K -6.95% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.74%EV -3.77% E -1.08% K -1.51% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-03 14:55
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 34.00%EV -6.66% E -2.42% K -3.81% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.29%EV -8.22% E -3.45% K -5.96% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.71%EV -3.77% E -1.08% K -1.51% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 11:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.36% E -3.10% K -4.92% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.86%EV -11.30% E -4.92% K -8.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -3.77% E -1.08% K -1.51% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-03 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.44%EV -4.96% E -1.77% K -2.76% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.02%EV -7.45% E -3.10% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.54%EV -6.52% E -1.92% K -2.72% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 22:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74% NM 34.68%EV -10.05% E -3.79% K -6.09% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.29%EV -7.45% E -3.10% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.03%EV -6.52% E -1.92% K -2.72% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46% NM 34.83%EV -11.75% E -4.52% K -7.34% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.54%EV -9.38% E -3.99% K -6.95% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.63%EV -6.52% E -1.92% K -2.72% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-03 11:40
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04% NM 33.87%EV -8.36% E -3.10% K -4.92% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.42%EV -8.22% E -3.45% K -5.96% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -9.27% E -2.81% K -4.03% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 04:09
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74% NM 34.40%EV -10.05% E -3.79% K -6.09% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.98%EV -7.45% E -3.10% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.62%EV -9.27% E -2.81% K -4.03% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 11:40
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91% NM 34.18%EV -12.77% E -4.97% K -8.13% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 38.53%EV -12.08% E -5.30% K -9.43% G +0.000%3.22I 31.06% NM 27.28%EV -11.47% E -3.56% K -5.16% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22% NM 34.42%EV -13.45% E -5.27% K -8.68% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 38.16%EV -11.30% E -4.92% K -8.70% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.43%EV -12.02% E -3.75% K -5.46% G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-03 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67% NM 34.90%EV -18.54% E -7.73% K -13.24% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.08%EV -15.16% E -6.89% K -12.63% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.02%EV -14.77% E -4.76% K -7.03% G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-03 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLe Mans FC (Local)Brest (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%1.18I 84.75%1.02I 98.04%167.5%2026-07-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%1.18I 84.75%1.02I 98.04%167.5%2026-07-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%1.18I 84.75%1.02I 98.04%167.5%2026-07-03 15:15