La escuela de los momios

Le Mans FC v Brest

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Le Mans FC (Local)

Predicción 38.11%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.25%38.09%38.14%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.5543.48%40.89%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brest (Visitante)

Predicción 34.90%2.87momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.43%34.93%34.94%36.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.682.8140.00%37.55%37.31%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.99%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.23%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.447%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%26.98%26.92%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.403.7531.25%29.02%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +1.23%E +0.328%K +0.447%G +0.006%2.9%2026-07-06 08:15
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.59%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 35.02%EV -1.93%E -0.687%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.38%EV +0.690%E +0.185%K +0.253%G +0.002%1.6%2026-07-25 18:50
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.64%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.01%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.35%EV -0.660%E -0.179%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 18:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 15:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 07:55
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 18:50
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.17%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 15:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.41%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.17%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 13:19
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.41%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.17%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 13:20
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -5.50%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -5.50%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -3.33%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:19
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:20
Caesars2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 00:56
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -4.74%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -8.21%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 15:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:50
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.36%E -5.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.75%E -5.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 13:25
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -5.50%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.98%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 16:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.77%E -2.14%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 12:55
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-16 14:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:04
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:03
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-15 20:04
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.56%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.01%E -4.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 17:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.01%E -4.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 17:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -11.01%E -4.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 18:55
Suprabets2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.55%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 17:11
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.55%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 12:14
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -2.28%E -0.814%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-14 17:14
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.26%EV -11.21%E -4.81%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.56%EV -9.96%E -3.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -11.46%E -3.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 18:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.31%E -3.91%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.27%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.31%E -3.91%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.26%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.27%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.36%E -5.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.75%E -5.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.62%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.66%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%3.7%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.66%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%3.7%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.66%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.16%3.7%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%4.7%2026-07-26 03:34