The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Le Havre v Lorient

2026-11-08 16:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Havre (Local)

Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%32.83%32.97%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9638.46%35.55%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lorient (Visit)

Prediction 38.33%2.61fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.40%38.43%38.23%39.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5445.45%41.42%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.554%
Kelly +0.772%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.74%28.79%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.203.5432.79%30.92%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Le Havre (Local): 32.87%; Lorient (Visit): 38.33%; Draw: 28.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.54, producing a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32%EV -2.71%E -0.916%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%EV -2.64%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.86%EV +1.96%E +0.554%K +0.772%G +0.015%1.4%2026-10-25 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -0.920%E -0.267%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 23:36
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 23:36
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 00:34
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 23:41
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.67%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 20:50
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 23:35
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:50
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 23:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-26 01:11
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.12%EV -8.63%E -3.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -12.99%E -5.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.85%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 23:35
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -14.54%E -5.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -15.67%E -7.12%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.15%E -3.98%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-10-25 23:36
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 32.63%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.46%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%16.1%2026-10-25 23:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%167.9%2026-10-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%167.9%2026-10-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-10-26 00:00