Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Le Havre v Lorient

2026-11-08 16:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Le Havre (Casa)

Previsione 32.87%3.04quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.916%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.74%32.83%32.97%33.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.812.802.9638.46%35.55%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lorient (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.33%2.61quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.40%38.43%38.23%39.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.412.402.5445.45%41.42%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.80%3.47quota equa
EV +1.96%
Vantaggio +0.554%
Kelly +0.772%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.54%28.74%28.79%29.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.233.203.5432.79%30.92%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Le Havre (Casa): 32.87%; Lorient (Trasferta): 38.33%; Pareggio: 28.80%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.47. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.54, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.96%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.32%EV -2.71%E -0.916%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%EV -2.64%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.86%EV +1.96%E +0.554%K +0.772%G +0.015%1.4%2026-10-25 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -0.920%E -0.267%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 23:36
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 23:36
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 23:35
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 00:34
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.24%EV -6.10%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 23:41
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.67%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 20:50
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 23:35
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:50
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 23:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.50%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-26 01:11
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.12%EV -8.63%E -3.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -12.99%E -5.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.85%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 23:35
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -14.54%E -5.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -15.67%E -7.12%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.15%E -3.98%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-25 23:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-10-25 23:36
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 32.63%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.46%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%16.1%2026-10-25 23:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%167.9%2026-10-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.33%167.9%2026-10-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-10-26 00:00