The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Auxerre v Angers

2026-08-29 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auxerre (Local)

Prediction 51.66%1.94fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.84%51.58%51.66%52.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9058.82%55.01%54.79%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Angers (Visit)

Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV -0.778%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.08%21.89%21.87%23.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.244.224.5527.03%23.56%23.67%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -0.225%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%26.54%26.48%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7630.30%28.48%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Auxerre (Local): 51.66%; Angers (Visit): 21.81%; Draw: 26.54%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.76, with an expected value of -0.225%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.80%EV -1.85%E -0.975%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 22.02%EV -2.52%E -0.564%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 26.18%EV -0.225%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-23 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.40%E -1.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -1.82%E -0.491%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.92%E -2.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.778%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.92%E -2.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.778%E -0.171%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -0.490%E -0.131%K -0.178%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 18:19
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.80%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.64%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.55%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.58%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -6.50%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.58%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:44
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:43
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.25%EV -7.53%E -4.21%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.90%EV -9.51%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:52
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.54%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.36%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.12%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.64%EV -12.18%E -7.17%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%EV -19.31%E -5.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-08-23 17:45
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%13.6%2026-08-23 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 34.06%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.12%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.82%177.0%2026-08-23 18:20