Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Auxerre v Angers

2026-08-29 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Auxerre (Local)

Previsão 51.67%1.94odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.966%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.84%51.64%51.59%52.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.821.821.9058.82%54.99%54.95%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Angers (Visitante)

Previsão 21.82%4.58odd justa
EV -0.722%
Vantagem -0.159%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.08%21.82%21.93%23.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.254.254.5527.03%23.51%23.53%21.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.51%3.77odd justa
EV -0.305%
Vantagem -0.081%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.90%26.53%26.47%27.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.7630.30%28.45%28.57%26.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Auxerre (Local): 51.67%; Angers (Visitante): 21.82%; Empate: 26.51%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.76, com valor esperado de -0.305%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.80%EV -1.83%E -0.966%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.552%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 26.18%EV -0.305%E -0.081%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-23 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.02%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -1.90%E -0.512%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.722%E -0.159%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.722%E -0.159%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.51%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%EV -1.81%E -0.403%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -0.570%E -0.152%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.58%EV -2.90%E -0.653%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -4.02%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.18%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:24
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.18%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:04
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -6.18%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.18%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -6.48%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.27%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:44
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:43
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.25%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.90%EV -9.58%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:52
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.54%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.36%EV -7.73%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.03%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.99%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.58%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.36%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.64%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%EV -19.27%E -5.21%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-23 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-08-23 17:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%13.6%2026-08-23 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.23%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.23%173.6%2026-08-23 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.23%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.23%173.6%2026-08-23 19:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-08-23 19:19