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AS Monaco v Auxerre

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco (Local)

Prediction 67.59%1.48fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.57%67.54%67.57%68.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.381.381.4478.74%72.61%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auxerre (Visit)

Prediction 13.68%7.31fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.397%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.97%13.72%13.66%15.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.806.757.5017.86%14.71%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.73%5.34fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.430%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.95%18.74%18.77%19.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.914.905.4422.22%20.36%20.41%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AS Monaco (Local): 67.59%; Auxerre (Visit): 13.68%; Draw: 18.73%. For Auxerre (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.31. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +2.58%E +0.344%K +0.397%G +0.010%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +2.58%E +0.344%K +0.397%G +0.010%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +2.58%E +0.344%K +0.397%G +0.010%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +2.58%E +0.344%K +0.397%G +0.010%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -1.65%E -0.314%K -0.388%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.40%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.49%EV -0.156%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 18.11%EV +1.91%E +0.351%K +0.430%G +0.008%1.5%2026-11-02 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -0.840%E -0.116%K -0.134%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.43%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.49%EV -2.89%E -0.407%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.714%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-02 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.40%E -5.40%K -20.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.26%E -0.608%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-02 19:54
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -7.68%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -6.73%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -7.68%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -10.08%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.21%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -7.68%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.40%E -5.40%K -20.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.36%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.59%E -0.498%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 19:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.02%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:39
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.21%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-02 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.95%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.75%E -6.48%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.10%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.82%EV -14.16%E -11.15%K -52.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.46%EV -12.47%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -13.83%E -3.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-02 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -14.52%E -2.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.78%EV -11.46%E -8.75%K -36.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.00%EV -14.52%E -2.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -14.76%E -3.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 65.57%EV -11.46%E -8.75%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.34%EV -23.41%E -4.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.09%EV -15.70%E -3.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-02 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 65.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.96%16.5%2026-11-02 19:55