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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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AS Monaco v Auxerre

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AS Monaco (主队)

预测 67.41%1.48公平赔率
EV -2.94%
优势 -2.04%
Kelly -6.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
65.17%67.41%67.29%68.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.381.381.4478.13%72.59%72.46%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Auxerre (客队)

预测 13.59%7.36公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +0.258%
Kelly +0.298%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.97%13.64%13.53%14.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.826.757.5017.54%14.67%14.81%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.00%5.26公平赔率
EV +3.38%
优势 +0.621%
Kelly +0.761%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 5.44

博彩公司预测分布
17.95%18.94%19.18%19.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.884.805.4423.26%20.48%20.83%18.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：AS Monaco (主队)：67.41%；Auxerre (客队)：13.59%；平局：19.00%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.26。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.44，由此产生+3.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.40%EV -2.94%E -2.04%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.49%EV -0.782%E -0.107%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 18.11%EV +3.38%E +0.621%K +0.761%G +0.026%1.5%2026-11-02 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.43%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.49%EV -3.50%E -0.493%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +0.716%E +0.135%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.4%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.28%E -3.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +1.94%E +0.258%K +0.298%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -0.234%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.28%E -3.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +1.94%E +0.258%K +0.298%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -0.234%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.28%E -3.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +1.94%E +0.258%K +0.298%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -0.234%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.28%E -3.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +1.94%E +0.258%K +0.298%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV -0.234%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.65%E -5.59%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.94%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.18%E -0.228%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.46%E -0.202%K -0.234%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.98%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.98%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.88%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.88%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.88%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.88%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.33%E -6.12%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.05%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -6.88%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-02 20:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.26%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -6.98%E -5.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.26%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -8.33%E -6.12%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -8.26%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.79%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 20:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.63%E -4.02%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.65%E -5.59%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-02 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.21%EV -8.33%E -6.12%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -8.26%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.74%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.33%E -6.12%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.69%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.33%E -6.12%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.69%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-02 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.00%E -6.67%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.59%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.51%EV -13.72%E -10.72%K -49.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.29%EV -11.66%E -1.79%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -14.49%E -3.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-02 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.71%EV -11.70%E -8.93%K -37.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.65%EV -13.01%E -2.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.64%EV -15.44%E -3.47%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-02 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 65.17%EV -11.70%E -8.93%K -37.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.98%EV -22.53%E -3.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.85%EV -18.29%E -4.25%K -5.54%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-02 20:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 65.02%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43%16.5%2026-11-02 20:55