Language:English
Angers v Lille
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Angers (Local)
Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +0.880%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.96%19.08%20.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.894.805.5022.73%20.43%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lille (Visit)
Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.50%56.17%56.12%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.671.7362.89%60.17%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%24.87%24.81%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0129.41%26.77%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Angers (Local): 19.06%; Lille (Visit): 56.13%; Draw: 24.80%. For Angers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +4.84%E +0.880%K +1.07%G +0.052% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.48%EV +1.60%E +0.300%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.95%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.57%EV -0.535%E -0.133%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.14%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -0.783%E -0.196%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 03:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-09 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.04%EV -6.22%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -6.49%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.60%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.02%EV -8.97%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.41%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.32%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.92%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.67%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 09:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36% | 11.1% | 2026-07-15 20:55 |