The School of Odds

Angers v Lille

2026-08-23 13:00 — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: Angers (Local)

4.1024.39%Min
4.9420.26%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.5018.18%Max
17.36%5.760Min
20.54%4.868Max
18.73%5.339Mean
18.86%5.301Median
18.86%5.301IQM
18.66%5.360Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 18.86%

EV +3.74%Edge +0.681%Kelly +0.832%Growth +0.031%

Option 2: Lille (Visit)

1.5464.94%Min
1.6460.95%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7158.48%Max
54.69%1.829Min
57.89%1.727Max
56.50%1.770Mean
56.48%1.771Median
56.41%1.773IQM
56.69%1.764Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 56.41%

EV -3.54%Edge -2.07%Kelly -4.98%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.4029.41%Min
3.7426.73%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
4.1124.33%Max
24.00%4.167Min
25.46%3.927Max
24.77%4.037Mean
24.66%4.056Median
24.73%4.044IQM
24.65%4.057Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.11 under the IQM model: 24.73%

EV +1.62%Edge +0.394%Kelly +0.521%Growth +0.008%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAngers (Local) ▼Lille (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18% NM 17.36%EV +3.74% E +0.681% K +0.832% G +0.031%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -5.79% E -3.47% K -8.64% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.46%EV -7.28% E -1.94% K -2.65% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 12:34
1xBet5.38I 18.59% NM 18.33%EV +1.48% E +0.275% K +0.338% G +0.005%1.71I 58.48% NM 57.67%EV -3.54% E -2.07% K -4.98% G +0.000%4.11I 24.33% NM 24.00%EV +1.62% E +0.394% K +0.521% G +0.008%1.4%2026-07-07 12:34
SportsBet5.30I 18.87% NM 17.90%EV -0.028% E -0.005% K -0.007% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.14%EV -6.36% E -3.83% K -9.63% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.96%EV -6.04% E -1.59% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:35
FanDuel5.30I 18.87% NM 17.59%EV -0.028% E -0.005% K -0.007% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.89%EV -9.18% E -5.70% K -15.04% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.53%EV -6.04% E -1.59% K -2.16% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:35
Coolbet5.25I 19.05% NM 18.52%EV -0.971% E -0.185% K -0.229% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 57.18%EV -4.10% E -2.41% K -5.86% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.30%EV -1.10% E -0.275% K -0.366% G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 13:00
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00% NM 19.02%EV -5.69% E -1.14% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.28%EV -4.66% E -2.76% K -6.76% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.70%EV -4.81% E -1.25% K -1.69% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:34
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.90%EV -5.69% E -1.14% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.24%EV -5.23% E -3.11% K -7.69% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.86%EV -6.04% E -1.59% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 12:34
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.71%EV -5.69% E -1.14% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.68%EV -6.92% E -4.19% K -10.65% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.61%EV -6.04% E -1.59% K -2.16% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:34
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.45%EV -5.69% E -1.14% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.95%EV -8.61% E -5.32% K -13.89% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.60%EV -7.28% E -1.94% K -2.65% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 12:34
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00% NM 18.45%EV -5.69% E -1.14% K -1.42% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.95%EV -8.61% E -5.32% K -13.89% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.60%EV -7.28% E -1.94% K -2.65% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 12:34
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05% NM 19.37%EV -10.40% E -2.19% K -2.77% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.76%EV -6.92% E -4.19% K -10.65% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.87%EV -8.52% E -2.30% K -3.15% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-07 23:44
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05% NM 19.24%EV -10.40% E -2.19% K -2.77% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.38%EV -6.92% E -4.19% K -10.65% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.38%EV -10.99% E -3.05% K -4.23% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-07 12:34
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74% NM 19.87%EV -13.23% E -2.88% K -3.68% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 55.75%EV -7.48% E -4.56% K -11.69% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.38%EV -7.28% E -1.94% K -2.65% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-07 12:34
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98% NM 19.31%EV -14.18% E -3.12% K -3.99% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 55.60%EV -10.87% E -6.88% K -18.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.10%EV -13.46% E -3.85% K -5.38% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-07 12:34
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22% NM 19.48%EV -15.12% E -3.36% K -4.32% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 55.48%EV -10.87% E -6.88% K -18.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.04%EV -13.46% E -3.85% K -5.38% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-07 12:34
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39% NM 20.54%EV -22.66% E -5.53% K -7.31% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 54.69%EV -13.13% E -8.52% K -24.31% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 24.77%EV -15.93% E -4.69% K -6.64% G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-07 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAngers (Local)Lille (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.90I 20.41% NM 18.37%1.60I 62.50% NM 56.27%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%11.1%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04% NM 35.26%1.22I 81.97% NM 29.48%1.02I 98.04% NM 35.26%178.0%2026-07-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04% NM 35.26%1.22I 81.97% NM 29.48%1.02I 98.04% NM 35.26%178.0%2026-07-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04% NM 33.33%1.02I 98.04% NM 33.33%1.02I 98.04% NM 33.33%194.1%2026-07-07 12:35