Idioma:Español
Angers v Lille
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Angers (Local)
Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +0.880%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.36%18.96%19.08%20.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.894.805.5022.73%20.43%20.83%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lille (Visitante)
Predicción 56.13%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.50%56.17%56.12%57.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.591.661.671.7362.89%60.17%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.80%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.535%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%24.87%24.81%25.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.0129.41%26.77%26.67%24.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Angers (Local): 19.06%; Lille (Visitante): 56.13%; Empate: 24.80%. Para Angers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.25. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +4.84%E +0.880%K +1.07%G +0.052% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.48%EV +1.60%E +0.300%K +0.369%G +0.006% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.95%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.57%EV -0.535%E -0.133%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 04:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.14%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -0.783%E -0.196%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-07 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 03:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-09 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.04%EV -6.22%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -6.49%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.60%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.02%EV -8.97%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 09:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.41%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.32%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.92%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.67%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 09:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36% | 11.1% | 2026-07-15 20:55 |