La escuela de los momios

Angers v Lille

2026-08-23 13:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Angers (Local)

Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +0.880%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.36%18.96%19.08%20.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.894.805.5022.73%20.43%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lille (Visitante)

Predicción 56.13%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -3.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.50%56.17%56.12%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.661.671.7362.89%60.17%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.80%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.535%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%24.87%24.81%25.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.0129.41%26.77%26.67%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +4.84%E +0.880%K +1.07%G +0.052%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 12:34
1xBet5.33I 18.76%NM 18.48%EV +1.60%E +0.300%K +0.369%G +0.006%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.95%EV -2.89%E -1.67%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.57%EV -0.535%E -0.133%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-18 04:30
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.14%EV -6.82%E -4.11%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:35
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +1.03%E +0.193%K +0.238%G +0.002%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -5.98%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:35
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -0.783%E -0.196%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 13:00
Marathon Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 04:29
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 14:40
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV +0.072%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.881%E -0.169%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.42%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -4.01%E -2.35%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.24%EV -5.69%E -3.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 12:34
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 03:52
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 08:45
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 12:34
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.69%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.06%E -5.59%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 12:34
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 03:05
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -5.65%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 03:04
Pinnacle4.92I 20.33%NM 19.04%EV -6.22%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -6.49%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 09:17
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.60%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 09:18
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 12:55
betano_uk4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 09:18
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 09:19
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.57%E -2.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 09:17
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 19:20
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.02%EV -8.97%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 09:17
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.46%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 09:18
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.41%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 14:30
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.32%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-14 12:59
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 09:17
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.92%EV -10.75%E -6.76%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.67%E -4.61%K -6.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -16.13%E -3.67%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%6.7%2026-07-18 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%6.7%2026-07-18 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%9.5%2026-07-18 09:16
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%11.1%2026-07-15 20:55