La scuola delle quote

Marseille v Toulouse

Inizio: 2026-03-04 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Marseille (Casa)

Previsione 51.16%1.95quota equa
EV -5.35%
Vantaggio -2.89%
Kelly -6.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.08%51.01%51.24%55.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.761.751.8560.24%56.79%57.14%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toulouse (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.78%4.39quota equa
EV +4.81%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.50%22.94%22.71%24.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.214.154.6028.57%23.76%24.10%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.05%3.84quota equa
EV +1.60%
Vantaggio +0.410%
Kelly +0.552%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.35%26.05%26.05%26.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.623.703.9032.26%27.60%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -10.97%E -6.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV +4.81%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +1.60%E +0.410%K +0.552%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-04 19:34
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -10.97%E -6.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV +4.81%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +1.60%E +0.410%K +0.552%G +0.009%4.9%2026-03-04 19:35
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -12.00%E -6.98%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV +4.81%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.064%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV +0.297%E +0.077%K +0.104%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:35
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -12.51%E -7.32%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -12.51%E -7.32%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:25
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -12.51%E -7.32%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -12.51%E -7.32%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -14.04%E -8.36%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -1.01%E -0.265%K -0.359%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 19:34
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -14.04%E -8.36%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +2.53%E +0.563%K +0.723%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 19:34
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -15.07%E -9.08%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV +0.253%E +0.057%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.99%EV -5.86%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.16%E -0.745%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:54
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.56%EV -5.86%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 19:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.22%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:53
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.61%E -0.976%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.46%E -5.98%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.46%E -5.98%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-04 18:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.35%E -2.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.43%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 49.16%EV -13.02%E -7.66%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -20.25%E -5.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -19.24%E -6.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-04 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.