The School of Odds
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Chambéry v Grenoble

Kickoff: 2026-11-12 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chambéry (Local)

Prediction 10.76%9.29fair odd
EV +50.70%
Edge +3.62%
Kelly +3.90%
Growth +1.98%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.47%10.84%10.48%11.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7510.559.0014.0012.90%9.48%11.11%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 73.80%1.35fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -4.94%
Kelly -23.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.28%74.00%74.04%80.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.201.211.2788.50%83.06%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.44%6.48fair odd
EV +8.05%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.108%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.27%15.16%15.49%16.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.326.007.0018.18%15.82%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chambéry (Local): 10.76%; Grenoble (Visit): 73.80%; Draw: 15.44%. For Chambéry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.29. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +50.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%7.6%2026-11-12 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%7.6%2026-11-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%7.6%2026-11-12 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%7.6%2026-11-12 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -14.39%E -12.41%K -89.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +8.05%E +1.15%K +1.34%G +0.108%7.6%2026-11-12 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -15.87%E -13.92%K -113.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%9.7%2026-11-12 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -16.60%E -14.69%K -127.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%10.5%2026-11-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +50.70%E +3.62%K +3.90%G +1.98%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -16.60%E -14.69%K -127.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV +4.19%E +0.620%K +0.728%G +0.030%10.5%2026-11-12 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.27%E -4.94%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -11.25%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-12 17:50
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.12%E -0.347%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.96%E -8.17%K -45.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -8.51%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -11.44%E -9.53%K -57.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.25%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-12 17:14
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 17:50
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.11%E -2.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -13.89%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.75%E -6.20%K -30.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.11%E -2.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Pinnacle🎯7.76I 12.89%NM 11.60%EV -16.47%E -2.12%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.99%EV -11.44%E -9.53%K -57.19%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 13.41%EV +3.57%E +0.532%K +0.625%G +0.022%11.1%2026-11-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -16.58%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.49%E -6.84%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.39%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-12 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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